Sept. 28, 2026

Ep. 1987: The Fee Machine

Higher fees do not buy higher returns. Don and Tom unpack the fee-to-risk/reward ratio, show how fund costs compound against investors, and compare low-cost index funds with expensive active funds, hedge funds, and private equity.

Then they answer listener questions about converting Vanguard mutual funds to ETFs without triggering taxes, leaving a home to a stepson while preserving the step-up in basis, and spotting financial articles that are really advertisements in disguise.

3:22 The fee-to-risk/reward ratio
9:15 Hedge funds and private equity
13:19 How much is too much to pay
16:05 Converting Vanguard mutual funds to ETFs
17:38 Leaving a home to a stepson
19:53 When financial advice is an advertisement

Questions? Comments? Click!

00:48 - Financial Physics Returns

02:00 - Reunion Reflections

03:22 - Fees and Returns

06:07 - Ridex Shock

09:15 - Hedge Funds Lose

11:30 - New ETFs, Same Game

13:18 - Expense Ratios to Avoid

16:05 - ETF Transfer Trick

17:38 - Inheriting the House

19:55 - Nest Egg Fryers

23:10 - Ads in Disguise

SPEAKER_03

We're making money making sense. So the rules stick in your talk in real money.

SPEAKER_05

Yes, those rules are going to school. We're gonna school use on the rules of financial physics, the laws of financial physics from the uh the the massive tome that Tom is carefully lifting from its altar

Financial Physics Returns

SPEAKER_05

there in the office. Oh no, it's not that thick. Oh. It seems like the laws of financial physics would be thicker than that, doesn't it?

SPEAKER_02

It would be the bigger book, but but frankly, with the torn rotator cuff, just lifting this is enough.

SPEAKER_05

So Yeah, that's probably true. Torn rotator cuff. That's just you falling apart in old age.

SPEAKER_02

Torn meniscus, torn rotator cuffs. Come on, come on.

SPEAKER_05

You know how old you are. You just went to your 50th high school reunion.

SPEAKER_02

I I can clearly remember, by the way, when my dad told me he was going to his, I was like, wait, those people some of those people are still alive? That's crazy. So yeah, I went. It was um no offense to my friends at Bellevue High School who have there were a few people I wanted to see, and then I saw them and I looked around the rest of them like I I don't know any of these other people.

SPEAKER_05

I remember going to mine a couple of years ago and going, Well, who are these old people?

SPEAKER_02

I know. Looking around, going, what the fuck?

SPEAKER_05

These are really old people.

SPEAKER_02

I know. So mm-mm. And the sadder part, frankly, was when they put the pictures up on the screen of the people that have passed on, who two of whom were very good buddies of mine. So that kind of three, actually, kind of.

SPEAKER_05

We're people of a certain age. Trevor

Reunion Reflections

SPEAKER_05

Burrus, Jr.: The zone, as they say. Everybody's the dying zone. Hey, welcome to Talking Real Money, the podcast. This is the Monday edition where we cover the laws of financial physics until we finish the book. And then I don't know what we're gonna do about that. Oh, we'll find another book.

unknown

Trevor Burrus, Jr.

SPEAKER_05

We'll come up with something. Maybe Tom will get his done. Trevor Burrus, Jr.

SPEAKER_02

That won't be done by then.

SPEAKER_05

I don't think we're gonna read from your book on the show.

SPEAKER_02

I don't think so either, because when you see the stories I've included, you'll be like, no. Line through there, lawyer this.

SPEAKER_05

So I was just gonna say, do I need an at should I hire an attorney now?

SPEAKER_02

Prior restraint sounds proper in this case.

SPEAKER_05

So uh all all of you blankety-blank esquires out there, uh, you know, if you want to start bidding on my work, you're gonna be busy for a long time.

SPEAKER_02

There's a lot of lines, yes.

SPEAKER_05

Anyway, uh here we are talking about the laws of financial physics. And what law of financial physics are we up to there, Tommy?

SPEAKER_02

11. 11. This is how many of these things are there, by the way? Uh I think they're 30. No, it's not 30.

SPEAKER_05

28? 18. Oh.

SPEAKER_02

Oh my gosh, we're seven away from done. I I know. So uh this is my retirement party. Um this is uh this is actually I think you even said this in here. The the author said uh this is one of the most powerful. One of the most powerful.

SPEAKER_05

That is the No, you are building this one up.

Fees and Returns

SPEAKER_05

I know.

SPEAKER_02

Fee to risk ratio, free fee to risk reward ratio. In other words, how much you make it to risk slash reward ratio.

SPEAKER_05

Yeah, whether you're you you how much you're gonna make, how much you're gonna yeah, how much risk you're gonna take, how much you're gonna make. Yeah. Okay.

SPEAKER_02

And I got it. This one, as as the author points out, should be obvious, but it's really not. And the industry will tell you, no, that the there's no correlation between higher fees and lower returns. No, no, no, no. Because you made a lot more money. I picked the right stocks for you.

SPEAKER_05

Trevor Burrus, Jr.: It's just this is one of those truly duh rules, like duh, of course, because bear in mind if somebody charges more to make the same amount of money, they generally need to take more risk. That's pretty much the way it works. The risk-reward ratio uh is affected by the cost. You have to take more risk to cover those higher costs.

SPEAKER_02

And it you've even pointed out here a couple of cases, though, where if you just were buying the standard and poor's 500, where something like 80% of all money resides today, it's some ridiculous number. But you can still buy an S P 500 fund for, you know, 80 basis points, but you could turn around and buy it from Vanguard for three. Right. So I mean, it's and but people are still doing it. People are still way overpaying for just an index. But most of the time, they're way overpaying for funds from companies like American funds or T Row Price, where they're averaging out 75, 80 basis points, and they're going to tell you that's okay because we've got really smart people here that can tell you ahead of time which stocks to be in, which part of the market's going to do better, et cetera. Um, uh the the the we've talked about SPIVA, we've talked about other places which tracks uh the returns of actual funds, and uh no, you end up with less money. But uh what I love about the author in this is actual dollar amounts. I think at one point they talk about 90 years, S P 500. Uh where's that number? But uh but how much more you would have made? Oh, here we go. 100,000 in a mutual fund making 8% instead of 10. It's a difference uh of about $300,000 over over that period of time. It's pretty shocking what a difference those fees can really make, especially in funds which have made less, as you point out.

SPEAKER_05

Now, what did you say the expense ratio was on VOO, the Vanguard S500? I think you're there. And you said that there are funds charging as much as like 80 basis points eight cents per percent.

SPEAKER_02

Right.

SPEAKER_05

Oh, you haven't seen nothing yet.

SPEAKER_02

Not even getting warmed up, huh?

SPEAKER_05

Not even getting warmed up. Believe it or not, this is shocking.

Ridex Shock

SPEAKER_05

There is a fund out there from our friends at Rydex who are the champions of overcharging. Trevor Burrus, Jr.

SPEAKER_02

Well, they were but and they were the champions of you know leverage and all those things 25 years ago. They were the forerunners of all that stuff. Trevor Burrus, Jr.

SPEAKER_05

They have a plain old S P 500 fund, the Rydex S Pive Hundred Fund. They have a certain share class called Class C, which is the liar load class.

SPEAKER_02

Take a little bit out every year to pay the people selling it?

SPEAKER_05

Yeah.

SPEAKER_02

Grotesque and gross, yes.

SPEAKER_05

It's gross, it's horrible, it's awful. No, it's not not one percent, Tom. Excuse me? It's not one and a half percent, Tom.

SPEAKER_02

Oh my goodness.

SPEAKER_05

No, it's not two percent, Tom.

SPEAKER_02

Oh, yeah. I can't even run the percentage between that and zero point zero three. Somebody smart can.

SPEAKER_05

Uh that's like a hundred times cheaper. Yeah.

SPEAKER_02

Uh how much money is, if I can ask, is in that particular fund?

SPEAKER_05

Well, you know, I didn't look that up.

SPEAKER_02

Well, that's just crazy because, you know, again, talk about that's that's worse than having you know all of your money in the Bank of America savings program at 0.01. That's one of our one of our favorite. Well, you can't help yourself. Like what why is it just all you gotta do is get online and move it over to a high-yield savings count that's paying almost four now, I think, or maybe paying four. So the RYDEX S P 500.

SPEAKER_05

Well, I I meant to look it up. Trevor Burrus, Jr.

SPEAKER_02

That's as we used to say in the old days, an outrage of the week. I mean, frankly, at two and a two and a quarter.

SPEAKER_05

I can't believe there's a fund that is an index fund that charges that much. And let's just find out how much money is actually in that particular fund.

SPEAKER_02

I hope it's like four dollars or something.

SPEAKER_05

Um no, it's actually it's not a small amount for a fund that expensive. $165 million.

SPEAKER_02

I mean that's not huge, but people if you're in that fund, stop immediately, move it to move it to the if you're gonna own the SP $500, just go to Vanguard and order.

SPEAKER_05

And actually, this is wait a minute, this is the perfect example of the theory where I say that higher fees lead to higher risk or lower reward. Okay? The Ritex fund, let's look at, let's just go out to 10 years. Let's go to 10 years. The 10-year return on the Ritex S P 500 fund was 12.77% per year.

SPEAKER_02

That's great, great return.

SPEAKER_05

Well, but the return on the S P five hundred over that same ten-year period, fifteen point four four percent, or almost exactly the expense ratio.

SPEAKER_02

That's that's just you pay more, you make less. Wow. Okay, and I was thinking about fees and returns a bit after reading this chapter. Um

Hedge Funds Lose

SPEAKER_02

it's fascinating. What what type of investment charges the highest fees? Yeah, I well, I'll give it to you. Hedge funds generally, it's a lot of people. Oh, yeah, yeah, sure.

SPEAKER_05

Or even three and thirty on some of the ones who think a lot of themselves.

SPEAKER_02

And then 20% of the profits, right? It's really, really expensive. And how, in the only measurement you can actually trust, have they done compared to an index?

SPEAKER_05

Uh a lot lower?

SPEAKER_02

The remember member Buffett did the the challenge with the SP 100. I don't remember the number. Oh, it was uh huge beta. I mean, pardon me, huge difference between the return of the S P 500.

SPEAKER_05

You can type it in SP 500 and Yeah, I'm actually I'm actually doing the return difference. I'm doing some math here.

SPEAKER_02

Yeah, it's it's a lot. And this is the place where the smartest of the smart, the best computers, the best AI, everything. I mean, I'm reading the book right now on Ray Dalio of Bridgewater, which is wow. Don't get a job there if you want to be in this business, is all I can say. But um, very strange place. Anyway, I mean, that to me struck me as that's the greatest example of where you can pay the most and end up with the least over and over and over again. Trevor Burrus, Jr.

SPEAKER_05

And and yet those who want to feel like they're special continue to go to these companies, these private equity managers, these hedge funds or whatever they might be, and generally end up performing worse just because they get the feeling that they're special? I'm not sure. Ran the numbers, by the way, on the Ridex fund versus the S P 500. Yes. If you had $100,000 in the Ridex fund 10 years ago and you left it in, Sledic Compound over the last 10 years, it would be about $330,000. Not bad. Yep. Not bad. Tripled your money. Yeah. Pretty good. But but if you had it in the S P $500 like VOO, it would be about $420,000. That's $90,000.

SPEAKER_02

That sounds like one of my summer vacations right there, right? I mean, that's the difference.

SPEAKER_05

Actually, even for you, that's more like two summer vacations.

SPEAKER_02

Oh my goodness, that's crazy to think about. Um okay, that's number the the hedge

New ETFs, Same Game

SPEAKER_02

funds one. The other one that struck me as I was considering this topic last night is all of the new products that are coming out. Then there's like however many ETFs a day. I mean, it's some ridiculous number. Are those index products or are those actively managed kind of expensive ones? Well, the index market's pretty well covered. There's not a lot of people issuing new index funds because, well, you can already buy the Russell 1000, whatever it is, whatever index exists, you can always buy that fund. So the products that are coming out that you're excited about, the new stuff that's on the market today that you really should not consider, are generally active and they're generally more expensive because that's the part of the market they can still sort of infiltrate, if you will. Trevor Burrus, Jr.

SPEAKER_05

Because of the pitch. It's all about the they're looking for something to add some sizzle to what we believe, and and we truly very fervently believe that investing is only effective if it's, as Harry Markowitz said, boring, like watching paint dry or grass grow.

SPEAKER_02

My grass grows fast.

SPEAKER_05

I don't know about yours, but I live in Florida. Everything grows fast.

SPEAKER_02

Trevor Burrus, Jr. Except for your hair.

SPEAKER_05

Trevor Burrus, Jr.: Yeah, but but if you go out in the backyard and you watch it, okay. Can you literally see it growing?

SPEAKER_02

Trevor Burrus, Jr.: maybe doing that in the days ahead now that I'm sitting at home on my own. Who knows? Trevor Burrus, Jr.

SPEAKER_05

Oh, Tom. He sent his daughter off to college. And I think the reason he's really upset is because the college's mascot is the Broncos, and I think that's really upset.

SPEAKER_02

Additional pain observed by that.

SPEAKER_05

She did it on purpose. She probably did it because she likes me best.

SPEAKER_02

Probably does. She doesn't know you as well as she knows me. Trevor Burrus, Jr. Right. I'm a nicer guy in her in her mind.

Expense Ratios to Avoid

SPEAKER_02

Okay. So here's the question at hand. Because this is a very important chapter, very important rule. What is the highest expense ratio someone should pay on a fund, on an exchange traded fund or mutual fund?

SPEAKER_05

In a general sense, I think that half a percent or less that I was going to say 30 basis points. Yeah, but do you have some, you know, like emerging markets funds that can be a little bit more expensive. They can get up into the third they can get up into the 30s, I believe. Trevor Burrus, Jr.

SPEAKER_02

But I would look at my portfolio and I would number one, I'd see the family they come from, right? Because if they come from American funds or any of the rest of that, you know what? That's gone. Number two, I I guess we I guess we can negotiate and say 40 basis points. If it's 40 bips or higher, I think you're just wasting your money. Yeah, I think you're wasting your money.

SPEAKER_05

Want some stats? I got you numbers. Uh last year, 2025, 1162 new new ETFs were launched. 97 a month. 97 a month.

SPEAKER_02

That's like three a day.

SPEAKER_05

Of those, 1,000 were actively managed.

SPEAKER_02

Of course they were. Yeah. Tells you everything you need to know.

SPEAKER_05

Just 160?

SPEAKER_02

A little over 160. I guess they can they can say the passive ones are still the, you know, 2x NVIDIA, right? That's still a lot of claim that, right, because that's not actively managed. They're not picking a stock. They're just levering up.

SPEAKER_05

Wow. So this is kind of sad. And it it's uh yet another chapter down in the book of financial physics. I think we have seven more weeks.

SPEAKER_02

I can see now you're getting a little wistful. Do I have to write another book? Certainly you gotta get busy and seven. Maybe I need a new chapter.

SPEAKER_05

I don't think I can think of another one.

SPEAKER_02

We could do your historical fiction book, which I really love.

SPEAKER_05

That is not talking real money. That's talking about money.

SPEAKER_02

It's talking about money involved in there's boy, is it there. Yeah.

SPEAKER_05

Anyway. Um Thanks for being a part of this exciting return to school.

SPEAKER_02

If you have questions, it is that time of year.

SPEAKER_05

If you have questions, we we like those. We do. We like you sending them in to us at talkingrealmoney.com. And you can uh either speak them or you can type them. Tom likes the typing, and thanks for typing them up because his pile of papers growing by a little bit.

SPEAKER_02

You got a couple of those there for us, Tom? I yeah, I just saw my brother over the weekend and I told him about the war on trees. He couldn't believe that was a thing. I said that that's not there's actual that phrase actually.

SPEAKER_05

These are talking real money memes. We have the Model Military Aircraft Museum and the War on Trees.

ETF Transfer Trick

SPEAKER_02

Emerson, Georgia, Jeff writes. I wanted to move my friends, my funds from VT Sacks, VTSAX, and VTWAx into exchange traded funds. They're both held at truest, but I'm in the process of moving them to Vanguard. I'm under the impression, excuse me, that once in Vanguard I can do an in-kind transfer to an ETF without any tax implications. This is true, right?

SPEAKER_05

Yes.

SPEAKER_02

Um I I do they do that automatically for you? Do you have to trigger something? But yeah, you can do that. That's part of the neat trick that they came up with with exchange traded funds.

SPEAKER_05

They even patented that trick.

SPEAKER_02

Which I think now the patent has been. The patent has run out.

SPEAKER_05

Yeah.

SPEAKER_02

But yeah, so you could take that money you held at a mutual fund and move it into the ETF, which has distinct tax advantages over a mutual fund. So I think if you're in that situation, it makes sense, right?

SPEAKER_05

Yeah. Oh, sh in a taxable account, it makes massive amounts of s of sense because you avoid that capital gain from the sale, because you're really not selling, you're just trading it. And then from then on, you get deferred capital, uh unrealized capital gains. As long as they're unrealized capital gains, they just keep deferring until they are realized. So that's the growth in the share price that occurs that is outside of reinvestment.

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Trevor Burrus, Jr.

SPEAKER_02

And that is due to the structure of an ETF, where instead of something being sold and purchased, they're simply handing shares from one party to another, sort of inside, if you will, the ETF. It's an easier process.

SPEAKER_05

So it's actually a really smart

Inheriting the House

SPEAKER_05

thing to do.

SPEAKER_02

Yep. All right. Next question. We go to Federal Way, Washington, Catherine. Hello, my wife and I were together 36 years before she passed away recently. Oh, I'm sorry. That's hard to hear. Uh, have no kids of my own, and she has one left. The house was in both of our names and is now in my name. My question: what is the easiest way to leave the house to my stepson? I'm in Washington, and T O D is one option. But what about a joint ownership with right of survivorship or just leave it to him in the will? I don't anticipate any trouble from distant relatives. Want to make everything as easy as possible when I update my will. Thank you. Love listening to you guys.

SPEAKER_05

I worry so much about joint tenancy. Trevor Burrus, Jr.

SPEAKER_02

Well, the you wouldn't want to be able to do that.

SPEAKER_05

Because that gives the other person ownership. And there's a tax liability. Trevor Burrus, Jr.

SPEAKER_02

Correct. So because if you if you this is this comes up a lot. I'm going to buy a house for my kid. No, it makes more sense for you to buy it yourself. You to die, they get to step up in basis upon your passing. Why would you want to mess with that at all?

SPEAKER_05

Trevor Burrus Now you can certainly the easiest way to pass it to someone is a TOD or POD. Transfer on death or payable on death.

SPEAKER_02

That's fine.

SPEAKER_05

But it can be in the will. It could be anywhere. Trevor Burrus, Jr.

SPEAKER_02

Sure. But you wouldn't want to make them part owner in any way now, because then when you do pass that that increase, hopefully. By the way, I just looked. My home's down five percent from where I bought it two years ago. You can't real estate can't go down, can it?

SPEAKER_05

Real real estate? I think I guess it's a good thing. We've kind of talked about that in the past where people say real estate can't go down. Yeah, it can go down. Yeah. And it has gone down. And apparently in Tom's case, it is. It is it has been falling down.

SPEAKER_02

I just saw a video on Instagram that says I'm in the one of the five areas in Washington State that's had the worst real estate appreciation over the last few years. So Duvall? Yes. Hard to believe. There's only like four homes there, so it's hard to believe that it would have much impact.

SPEAKER_05

I didn't even, yeah, I didn't even know people paid attention.

SPEAKER_02

They don't, actually. So Kat, so your question, yes. Um I would simply I think you said TOD. I think that's right, in your will. And and so still yours, but then when you pass, it goes straight on, and then there's a step up in the cost basis, which is

Nest Egg Fryers

SPEAKER_02

the tax issue. So you know something that I did see that was not lovely over the weekend. God, I hate reading this stuff. You know, I just it gives me hives. Um there was an article called Five Easy Ways.

SPEAKER_05

Five Easy Pieces.

SPEAKER_02

Five Easy Pieces. Five Easy Ways People Fry Their Nest egg.

SPEAKER_05

Oh, I love the play on words. They fry the nest egg sort of thing. Yeah, that's clever.

SPEAKER_02

They said uh number one was avoiding LTC plan.

SPEAKER_05

Sounds like clickbait to me.

SPEAKER_02

Oh, I I it very clearly was. Avoiding LTC planning.

SPEAKER_05

Okay, yeah.

SPEAKER_02

Okay.

SPEAKER_05

Yeah, you've got to think about it at least. Even if you can't afford insurance, and by the way, you know, these articles like notice. Trevor Burrus, Jr.

SPEAKER_02

This one was uh selling LTC product, of course. Trevor Burrus, Jr.

SPEAKER_05

Yeah. They're telling you to go get a uh a a hybrid policy. You get the hybrid policies, read the policy very carefully. You'll see I I saw one, and this is not indicative of all of them, but I saw one where you had you you got all this life insurance that you really didn't need, and the the LTC benefit was $100 a day up to a max that was very low, if I remember correctly. So it really didn't pay much for that.

SPEAKER_02

If you pay me that, you can stay in my garage. I mean $100. Anyway. Um as you come over and empty the bedpan. Number two. This is number two. Uh you know, uh they write this with a straight face? Ignoring alternative investments, such as fine art.

SPEAKER_05

Oh, give me a break. Uh that's an investment?

SPEAKER_02

Yeah. Well, real estate, the uh passive real estate, because you know you're gonna be able to do that. Well, we discovered how well that worked for Tom. Uh exactly. Ignoring that's gonna fry your nest egg? No, frying your nest egg would be boiling it in fine art or cryptocurrency.

SPEAKER_05

Right, exactly. Doing those things is how you fry your nest egg. It's uh And here's the thing about these articles is the these articles um they they seem to be selling. Something without clearly showing what they're selling.

SPEAKER_02

Well, there's not much transparency, right?

SPEAKER_05

Yeah. I I mean I read I got this article in front of me now, and I'm looking through it, and it says we rely only on vetted sources and credible third party reporting. Huh?

SPEAKER_02

I don't know which party that is, but it's more like fourth party, I think, in this case. By the way, one of them was well, the other one they meant, one of the uh of the five, the last one, sticking with an old advisor. Now, isn't old advisor.

SPEAKER_05

And then it's everybody who works with you.

SPEAKER_02

Yeah, I know. No, I ever works with me is like 30. As an old advisor, all the clients who work with you. Oh, I know, but it was sticking with an old advisor. I'm like, well, if it's a good old advisor, like me, yeah, you should stick with me.

SPEAKER_05

Here's the thing that that if you're with a firm, then there's someone behind the old advisor when they kick the bucket. Like half of Tom's graduating class is done already, apparently.

SPEAKER_02

Please don't say that. There were a lot of people there. Oh, I see.

SPEAKER_05

This one is pushing advisor.com. Yeah. Yeah.

SPEAKER_02

Go find yourself a new advisor.

SPEAKER_05

Yeah, that's pushing advisor.

SPEAKER_02

Better looking, harder working.

Ads in Disguise

SPEAKER_05

Oh, and the oh, this one's an interesting one. I didn't even see this. Neglecting an emergency fund?

SPEAKER_02

Yeah.

SPEAKER_05

Well, but wait, wait, wait. Okay, I get that. But their sec their suggestion for the best emergency front fund? This is a commercial for wealthfront. They're saying wealthfront is currently offering 3.3%.

SPEAKER_02

I think it's higher than that. Yeah, it wouldn't take it much time to find a better rate than that.

SPEAKER_05

This is a commit this is an ad in drag.

SPEAKER_02

Exactly. Not very not very good drag either, I gotta say.

SPEAKER_05

This is just bad. This is just bad.

SPEAKER_02

Oh yeah.

SPEAKER_05

Yeah, the hybrid policy is from Golden Care.

SPEAKER_02

Of course it is.

SPEAKER_05

This whole article is an advertisement. Is it what? Wait, does it the Federal Trade Commission?

SPEAKER_02

I think it just they hide themselves behind, you know, free press links.

SPEAKER_05

Oh, they do. Oh no, no, they've got a qualifier. They got a qualifier now. This article adheres to strict editorial standards. Wink wink. Some or all links may be monetized.

SPEAKER_02

So they're making a buck off sending you to Wealthfront. Well, it's better than sending you to Robinhood, I guess I should be happy about that.

SPEAKER_05

Exactly. Exactly. Golden Care, Wealthfront, uh arrived, a real estate platform.

SPEAKER_02

That's the one that wants to sell you part ownership of uh vacation places, I think, or some wacky thing.

SPEAKER_05

Yeah, they got this is yeah.

SPEAKER_02

One big stinking pile of advertising for your benefit or not.

SPEAKER_05

Well, that ends the uh this reading of financial physics, our questions, our uh supplemental topic, and all the fun stuff that we try to bring you every day on talking real money.

SPEAKER_04

Once every dollar had a genius attached to it, a name on the door, a corner office, a man who read the tape. He came down from the mountain with a list, and the list had twelve names on it. We paid him Oh, we paid him gladly one percent, two percent, whatever it took. Because how could it be otherwise? How could smart not be dumb? How could trying not beat Sitting still? He was on the cover in a good suit. He had a nickname, he had a streak, he had a war story, and every quarter the letter came explaining. Always explaining why this year was the year that didn't count. When somebody actually looked, somebody sat down and added it up. Twenty years of it, all of it, every fun. And the whole room went very quiet. Nobody's wearing anything. Nobody ever was There are too many eyes on the same street to fool. Too many minds on the very same page. The one thing you can know For certain is the price. Ten years out, most of them lose. Twenty years out, damn near all of them. And handful still standing at the end. Look exactly like what luck looks like. Exactly like what luck looks like. Ten thousand people in a field. Tell them all to flip a coin. Send home everyone who flips tails. Then do it again and again and again. Someone is still standing. Someone who's always still standing. Give him a magazine cover. Give him a fun. Give him your money. He is not a genius. He is the last one holding a coin. Nobody's wearing anything. Nobody ever was There are too many eyes on the same street to fool. Too many lines on the very same page. The one thing you can know for certain is the price. So on the whole street, on every window on it. Almost nothing and never look away. Stop hunting for the man who knows. There is no man who knows. There was never a man who knows. Fees matter more than brain. Nobody's wearing anything. Nobody.

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